Group D faced unexpected challenges in their Euro opener, but both teams managed to overcome them with great effort. The Netherlands recovered from a goal down to record a 2-1 victory over Poland, thanks to a late 83rd-minute strike by Wout Weghorst, while France needed an own goal to edge out Austria by the slimmest margins. The Oranje are in control of Group D and will do whatever it takes to stay at the summit, leveraging their free-scoring form after putting four unanswered goals in back-to-back triumphs against Iceland and Canada in June tune-up games.

The Dutch possess the quality to prove otherwise and leave a deep mark, with Saturday’s high-profile clash offering the perfect opportunity to test their mettle. Despite relying on Maximilian Wober’s own goal off Mbappe’s cross to open their Euro account with success, Didier Deschamps’ men deservedly came away with three points, considering they were far more dominant and threatening in front of goal than the well-organized Austrians.

The two nations will renew their hostilities after locking horns twice in the preliminary round of the group stage, with Les Bleus determined to seal their passage to the knockout phase of Euro 2024. Kylian Mbappe was instrumental in France’s thrashing of the Netherlands, contributing to five out of six goals. Without Mbappe, France struggles in front of goal, while the Netherlands should do enough to remain unbeaten and keep top of Group D.

Man City defender Nathan Ake is doubtful for the Euro match against Poland due to discomfort, while Ajax forward Brian Brobbey missed the opening match and will be assessed for matchday two. Memphis Depay is expected to lead the attack, despite Wout Weghorst’s impressive start in the tournament.

France’s main star, Kilian Mbappe, will be absent due to a nose injury during the Euro opening match. Real Madrid’s newcomer will wear a mask for the tournament and miss the Netherlands match. Marcus Thuram or Olivier Giroud could replace Mbappe as center-forward, while Bradley Barcola is expected to replace him in the starting XI.

Predicted lineups:

Netherlands

Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
Defenders: Virgil van Dijk, Nathan Aké, Stefan de Vrij, Denzel Dumfries
Midfielders: Xavi Simons, Cody Gakpo, Tijjani Reijnders, Joey Veerman, Jerdy Schouten
Forwards: Memphis Depay

France

Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
Defenders: Dayot Upamecano, Jules Koundé, William Saliba, Theo Hernández
Midfielders: Antoine Griezmann, Ousmane Dembélé, N’Golo Kanté, Adrien Rabiot, Bradley Barcola
Forwards: Marcus Thuram

• Netherlands – 1 win
• France – 5 wins
• Draws – —

Over all competition record

Euro 2024 – Table

Netherlands faces France in a challenging match, with a predicted 1-2 victory for France at full-time.

Winning probability:

Netherlands – 35%

Draw – 20%

France – 45%

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