Real Madrid has been on a consistent run of goalscoring form, scoring in each of their last six games and conceding a total of six. They have not been beaten by Alaves in their previous four games and have been unbeaten in their last 22 home league matches. In their last match, Real Madrid had 58% possession and 13 shots on goal, with goals from Fran García, Arda Güler, and Brahim Díaz. However, this pattern may not be carried forward in this game.

Alaves won a La Liga tie with Girona FC, securing a 2-2 draw. Alaves had 35% possession and 14 attempts on goal, with Jon Guridi scoring the only goal. Girona FC had 15 attempts and 5 on target, with Eric García and Yangel Herrera scoring for Girona FC. Alaves has been without a goal in their last six meetings, with opponents scoring 5 goals and Alaves scoring 8.

Real Madrid has won 5 of their previous head-to-head meetings, while Alaves has drawn one. The two clubs have shared 19 goals, with 15 for Los Blancos and 4 from Babazorros. The last match between the two was on La Liga match day 18 on 21/12/2023, with Alaves having 40% possession and 8 attempts at goal. Real Madrid scored with Lucas Vázquez’s goal, and the referee was Isidro Díaz de Mera.

Real Madrid’s Carlo Ancelotti will not feature Aurélien Tchouaméni and David Alaba due to injuries. Los Blancos may use a 4-2-3-1 system with Thibaut Courtois, Lucas Vázquez, Éder Militão, Antonio Rüdiger, Fran García, Eduardo Camavinga, Luka Modric, Brahim Díaz, Daniel Ceballos, Arda Güler, and Joselu.

Alaves boss Luis García Plaza has no fitness concerns ahead of the match. Babazorros may use a 4-2-3-1 formation with a healthy group, including Jesús Owono, Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Rafa Marín, J. López Carballo, Carlos Benavidez, Ander Guevara, and Kike.

Predicted lineups:

Real Madrid

Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
Defenders: Daniel Carvajal, Nacho Fernandez, Antonio Rudiger, Ferland Mendy
Midfielders: Jude Bellingham, Toni Kroos, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga
Forwards: Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo

Deportivo Alaves

Goalkeeper: Jesus Owono
Defenders: Abdelkebir Abqar, Nahuel Tenaglia, Rafa Marin, Javi Lopez
Midfielders: Ander Guevara, Jon Guridi, Carlos Benavidez
Forwards: Kike Garcia, Giuiano Simeone, Carlos Vicente

• Real Madrid – 5 wins
• Deportivo Alaves – 1 win
• Draws – —

Over all competition record

La Liga Standings

Real Madrid is expected to secure a 3-0 victory at the end of the 90 minutes, despite Alaves’ potential to struggle to score.

Winning probability:

Real Madrid – 74%

Draw – 16%

Deportivo Alaves – 10%

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