Poland failed to qualify in the group stage, trailing Czech Republic and Albania, and their defeats against Albania and Moldova demonstrates their incorrect assessment of the competition.

Estonia has qualified for a major competition, winning League D in the UEFA Nations League, despite not winning in EURO 2024 qualifiers. This success demonstrates the system’s potential for smaller nations.

Poland and Estonia are expected to face Wales or Finland in a friendly match, with Poland’s Lewandowski being the top pick due to his quality and home advantage. The match is expected to be routinely won with a goal difference.

Arkadiusz Milik is out of Playoff matches due to an injury, while Piatek and Buksa are vying for Lewandowski’s spot, with Piatek having a better chance.

12 years ago, Estonia defeated Poland, with Vassiljev scoring the game’s goal, Paskotsi playing defense, and Karl Hein as Arsenal’s third goalkeeper.

Predicted lineups:

Poland

Goalkeeper: Wojciech Szczesny
Defenders: Bartosz Bereszynski, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior
Midfielders: Matty Cash, Piotr Zielinski, Sebastian Szymanski, Przemyslaw Frankowski, Damian Szymanski
Forwards: Robert Lewandowski, Krzysztof Piatek

Estonia

Goalkeeper: Karl Hein
Defenders: Ragnar Klavan, Karol Mets, Maksim Paskotski
Midfielders: Rasmus Peetson, Poom, Konstantin Vassiljev, Artur Pikk, Viasly Syniavsky
Forwards: Henry Anier, Oliver Jurgens

• Poland – 3 wins
• Estonia – 1 win
• Draws – —

Over all competition record

UEFA Euro 2024 Qualifying Stats

Estonia faces Poland in a 3-0 win, likely to score multiple goals and create chances, despite facing a challenging lineup.

Winning probability: Poland – 81% , Draw – 13% , Estonia – 6%

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