AC Milan finished 3rd in the Champions League “death” group F, with worse h2h stats. Rossoneri, despite a good season, faced a tough battle for Scudetto with Inter. They have an 11-point advantage with a game less played, making the EL their best chance of securing the title.

AS Roma has struggled to secure the Champions League in the last five years, but under Jose Mourinho, they won the Europa Conference League and reached the Europa League Finals. After sacking Mourinho, the club went on a remarkable run, currently in 5th place, three away from the desired 4th place.

AC Milan is in excellent form, winning seven consecutive matches at San Siro and 15 out of 22 matches in the EL knockout phase. They beat Slavia Prague and Rennes with a combined goal difference of 7:3. AS Roma has lost only once in 11 games, but their best games have come at home. AC Milan has won two h2h games this season, and the last time AS Roma recorded a win was in October 2019.

AC Milan boss Stefano Pioli may use a 4-2-3-1 system, selecting Mike Maignan, Davide Calabria, Simon Kjaer, Matteo Gabbia, Theo Hernandez, Yacine Adli, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Rafael Leao, and Olivier Giroud.

Roma’s Gaffer Daniele De Rossi faces only one fitness concern due to a healthy group, with Sardar Azmoun missing. Giallorossi may use a 4-3-3 system.

Predicted lineups:

AC Milan

Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
Defenders: Davide Calabria, Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Theo Hernandez
Midfielders: Ismael Bennacer, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Tijjani Reijnders
Forwards: Christian Pulisic, Olivier Giroud, Rafael Leao

AS Roma

Goalkeeper: Rade Svilar
Defenders: Zeki Celik, Evan Ndicka, Gianluca Mancini, Angelino
Midfielders: Bryan Cristante, Leandro Paredes, Lorenzo Pellegrini
Forwards: Paulo Dybala, Romelu Lukaku, Stephan Shaarawy

• AC Milan – 4 wins
• AS Roma – — wins
• Draws – 2

Over all competition record

Roma’s threat to AC Milan’s defense may be enough to breach their defense, but a 2-1 win is expected in a competitive match.

Winning probability:

AC Milan – 53%

Draw – 27%

AS Roma – 20%

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